Polls are conducted by 'scientists' - rather number crunching hired guns.
The Chicago Tribune conducted a poll that give Rahm Emanuel a 12 point lead over the winner of the April 7th 2015 Mayoral Election, Jesus "Chuy" Garcia.
Polls, are said to be random samplings taken from snatches of would be voters.
If I conducted a random sampling of people with whom I come in contact with everyday, you see a diverse cross-section of Chicago demographics.
I start my day at Dunkin Donuts located near my house and operated by a gentleman from Morocco and staffed by a lovely couple from Bangladesh and a gorgeous graduate student from India. The manager lives on 103rd just west of Western Avenue in what most people call St. John Fisher parish. The manager is Muslim. He is voting for Chuy.
The couple who work with Kareem live in Homer Glen and can not vote in the City election - they are Hindi
The young graduate student lives on Walden Drive in Beverly and is Muslim as well. She has not registered to vote.
Of the this random sampling of persons - Chuy Garcia has 100% of the vote.
Now, let's talk people. I work in Auburn Gresham at 79th & Sangamon in Chicago's 17th Ward. Guess what? Rahm's and Father Pfleger's hand-picked candidate of Alderman was beaten by David Moore.
David Moore was told to back Rahm, or else. David Moore told the messengers to go pound sand, some other similar message. Looks like Alderman David Moore is an independent voice. An African American Alderman in Ward 17 goes off the Pfleger P . . .Reservation. Chuy? I'd say so, but that is not very scientific. I know the man who helped David Moore win the aldermanic and he is also instrumental in helping Chuy Garcia take the 5th Floor.
I live south of 103rd Street and west of Western Ave. and our homes are somewhat modest and match our incomes ( usually two incomes as Mom and Dad both work). East of Western around 103rd Street sit pricier big bunglow's for families earning bigger incomes.
Of my neighbors, thick with public pensions and long association with the Chicago, Cook County and State Democratic Organizations there is great distrust of Rahm Emanuel and Governor Rauner. Tough times and a tougher vote. From chats with my 19th Ward neighbors ( firemen, cops, CPS teachers, skilled tradesmen, City, County and State office workers), we won't see a sea of red, white and blue Chuy signs on lawns, but we should see my precinct (23rd, 19th Ward) go for Chuy. Raised ranch and Georgian dwellers, as well as modest apartment dwellers all.
West of the cemetaries sits Mount Greenwood and that will go overwhelmingly for Chuy.
The precinct immediately to the east of Western Avernue and hugging 103rd Street will go again for Rahm.
There are many families in that precinct with 'this close' ties to City, County and State Demographic power-that-be as well as some heavier than whale poop lobbyists living in the bungalows - like Rahm, or not, they will go with the current flow.
Like my Dunkin Donuts poll, very unscientific and all too human. I see the 19th Ward, like the 17th Ward shifting away from Rahm.
In the end, Chuy will beat Rahm by a whisker, but whisker is all it takes, Rahm will need to do a Deb Mell to win. That might fly in the 39th Ward of Blagostahn, but no way city wide.
The Tribune, the Big Cat money bags, the Progressives and the academics want Rahm on Five, they need Rahm on Five. They can't handle the truth.
The truth is that Chicago is about to redeem itself from decades laissez fair civics and lazy-ass voting.
Basta Rahm! Enough Rahm, Daley, Durbin, Mell, Quinn, Rauner, Marque Kirque Chicago!
Viva Chuy and Chicago might live again.